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Lawrenceburg, Kentucky 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Lawrenceburg KY
National Weather Service Forecast for: Lawrenceburg KY
Issued by: National Weather Service Louisville, KY
Updated: 8:47 am EDT Jun 27, 2025
 
Today

Today: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning.
Sunny then
Chance
T-storms
Tonight

Tonight: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 87. West wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
T-storms
Likely

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers after 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
T-storms
Likely then
Slight Chance
Showers
Sunday

Sunday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
T-storms
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71.
Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
Monday

Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 88. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Chance
T-storms then
T-storms
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am.  Low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
Tuesday

Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87.
Chance
T-storms

Hi 91 °F Lo 70 °F Hi 87 °F Lo 70 °F Hi 90 °F Lo 71 °F Hi 88 °F Lo 71 °F Hi 87 °F

Heat Advisory
Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Today
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning.
Tonight
 
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph.
Saturday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. West wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
 
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71.
Monday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 88. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
 
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87.
Tuesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 66.
Wednesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 65.
Thursday
 
Sunny, with a high near 89.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Lawrenceburg KY.

Weather Forecast Discussion
462
FXUS63 KLMK 271035
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
635 AM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Heat Advisory continues through this evening.

* Chances for mainly afternoon/evening showers and storms each day
  through Tuesday.

* Less humid conditions arrive next Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 333 AM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Slightly weakened upper ridge remains draped east to west across the
Ohio Valley. Hot and humid air mass remains in place in the low
levels, and we`ll have fairly similar conditions to Thursday,
perhaps with a bit less convective coverage. Still looks like
scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and while shear is too weak to
support organized severe wx, there is plenty of instability for your
typical pulse storm hazards, i.e. gusty or locally damaging winds
and torrential rainfall.

Heat Advisory carries on for one more day, as temps will rise
quickly this morning and crack 90 in many locations before noon.
There is a sufficient window of opportunity for 100+ heat index
values before convective outflow can provide any relief.

Any storms should fade fairly quickly around sunset, leaving behind
another warm and muggy night. Will hang on to a 20 POP in quite a
few spots just because of the tendency for such a juicy air mass to
spark an isolated nighttime storm or two.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 333 AM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Unsettled pattern this weekend into early next week with weak zonal
flow aloft and a juicy low-level air mass in place, supporting
mostly diurnally driven thunderstorms each day.

On Saturday, an upper shortwave trof moving east across the Great
Lakes will push a cold front toward the Ohio Valley, but the
boundary will hang up across Illinois and Indiana. Scattered to
numerous showers and storms are possible, but will be mostly garden-
variety convection as shear is too weak to support severe wx, and
the better focus for training and heavy rainfall will be to our
north. Could still see a stray pulse storm that would be capable of
producing gusty, locally damaging winds.

Another peak in precip chances will come Monday and Tuesday as a
sharper upper trof finally drives a cold front solidly into the Ohio
Valley. Expect widespread showers and storms with that system, with
severe risk limited to pulse storm hazards as the stronger wind
fields remain to our north.

Latter half of next week will feature a low-amplitude upper trof
over the Great Lakes and eastern Canada, with NW flow over the Upper
Midwest helping to build a bubble of sfc high pressure into the Ohio
Valley. Wednesday through Friday will have near-normal temperatures,
but manageable dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s. Precip chances
will be limited to isolated diurnal pop-ups, mainly across southern
Kentucky but starting to expand northward on Independence Day.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 635 AM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Main challenge is timing and impact of scattered thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening, assuming they actually impact each of the
terminals. Brief IFR vis possible with the heaviest rain, but figure
3SM is the lowest that will stick around for any length of time. CB
bases won`t be very low, most likely 3-4K feet. Given the hit-and-
miss nature of expected convection, will handle it with a PROB30
focused mainly on the 20Z to 02Z Sat time frame.

Otherwise expect prevailing VFR conditions with SW winds around 10
kt during the mixy part of the day, diminishing and backing to due
south again once the sun sets.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening for
     KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082.
IN...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening for
     INZ076>079-083-084-089>092.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RAS
LONG TERM...RAS
AVIATION...RAS
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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